The March Housing Supply Outlook is out. What to watch for:
Home sales below $150,000 are extremely hot, more than doubling over the last 12 months due to the effect of foreclosures and short sales.
There are now 7.8 months of supply, which is 15.2 percent lower than the rate of 9.2 months seen at this time last year. The biggest drop-off in months supply has been in the single-family property type, as sales have risen and inventory has dropped. Months supply of condominiums has actually risen 11.9 percent to 12.2 months.
Paradoxically, the average price of a condo has grown 5.7 percent in the last 12 months. However, the price per square foot has declined by 5.2 percent to $172 per square foot. This is an indication that larger condos have been selling but have been selling at a relative discount when we control for square footage.
MAAR_March 2009
Supply of Homes Continues to Draw Back
Minneapolis Area Association of Reltors released their monthly stats news release last week. Here’s what they said:
The Twin Cities housing market’s oversupply of homes for sale is being reigned in at an accelerated pace. The number of new listings in February was 6,648, down 19.4 percent from February 2008. That’s the 14th month of the last 15 to feature fewer new listings than the same month one year prior.
Alongside the jump in sales seen over the last nine months, this decline in new listings has brought the total inventory of homes for sale down to 25,825-a drop of 13.5 percent and 4,017 units from this time last year. Given the current rate of sales, this amounts to 7.8 months of supply, down from 9.2 months a year ago.
This is all good news for what has been an oversupplied market.
There were 3,314 pending sales in February, up 7.4 percent from last year. That’s the ninth consecutive month of year-over-year increase. Of these newly signed purchase agreements, 60.5 percent were lender-mediated foreclosures or short sales. Closed sales finished at 2,070, up 3.0 percent.
The overall February median sales price of $150,000 is 23.1 percent lower than last February. Traditional properties, which exclude foreclosures and short sales, had a February median sales price of $205,875, down 5.2 percent from last year. For the same year-over-year comparison, lender-mediated homes had a median sales price of $125,000, down 20.6 percent.
With mortgage rates still down in the low 5 percent range, improved affordability and the recent announcement of a $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers who purchase a home in 2009, the stage is set for continued absorption of Twin Cities housing inventory in 2009.
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