Archives for January 2009

Mortgage Rated Lowest in 50 Years!

January 31, 2009 by Kristin Rial

What this means for you:

Buyers –

Lower rates boost your
buying power

When rates drop 1%, you can buy
almost 10% more home in price.

Sellers

Lower rates boost home
affordability, bringing more home buyers
into the market

Home affordability is at its highest in the
Twin Cities since 1990, according to the
Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors®.

Owners

Lower rates could mean
lower monthly payments

Consider refinancing into an FHA mortgage,
which can be assumable to a buyer when
you sell your home.

Mortgage Rates
5.125%	5.251%
Conventional 30-Year Fixed	APR

5.375%	5.450%
FHA 30-Year Fixed	APR
Rates fluctuate daily. Click for current rates.
Rates as of 1/28/09 \| Assumptions 3:44:00 PM CST

Existing-Home Sales Show Surprising Gain

January 31, 2009 by Kristin Rial

Existing-home sales rose unexpectedly while inventory declined, led by a surge of sales in the West, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – jumped 6.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.74 million units in December. The number compares to a downwardly revised pace of 4.45 million units in November, but 3.5 percent below the 4.91 million-unit pace in December 2007.

For all of 2008, there were about 4.9 million existing-home sales — 13.1 percent below the 5.65 million transactions recorded in 2007. This is the lowest volume since 1997 when there were 4,371,000 sales.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said home prices continue to fall significantly.

“It appears some buyers are taking advantage of much lower home prices,” he said. “The higher monthly sales gain and falling inventory are steps in the right direction, but the market is still far from normal balanced conditions. Buyers will continue to have an edge over sellers for the foreseeable future.”

Total housing inventory at the end of December fell 11.7 percent to 3.68 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 9.3-month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 11.2-month supply in November.

Yun said the market is underperforming and hurting the broader economy.

“We’ve added 25 million people to our population over the past decade and housing affordability conditions are the best we’ve seen since 1973, but household formation is much lower than expected,” he said. “Consequently, there is a pent-up demand which could be unleashed with the right stimulus, including a non-repayable home buyer tax credit. The Obama administration and Congress need to move fast to stimulate a spring sales upturn which will help to stabilize home prices and set the foundation for a sustainable economic recovery.”

Housing Stats

National median existing-home price: (for all housing types) was $175,400 in December, which is 15.3 percent below December 2007 when the median was $207,000. There remains a significant downward distortion in the current median from a large number of distress sales at discounted prices, currently 45 percent of transactions; the median is where half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less. For all of 2008, the median price was $198,600, down 9.3 percent from $219,000 in 2007.

Single-family home sales: rose 7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.26 million in December from a level of 3.98 million in November, but are 1.4 percent below a 4.32 million-unit pace in December 2007. For all of 2008, single-family sales fell 11.9 percent to 4,349,000.

Median existing single-family home price: dropped to $174,700 in December, down 14.8 percent from a year ago. For all of 2008, the single-family median was $197,100, which is 9.5 percent below 2007.

Existing condominium and co-op sales: increased 2.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 480,000 units in December from 470,000 in November, but are 18.4 percent below the 588,000-unit level a year ago. For all of 2008, condo sales dropped 21.0 percent to 563,000 units.

Median existing condo price: slipped to $181,400 in December, down 18.3 percent from December 2007. For all of 2008, the median condo price was $210,000, which is 7.2 percent below 2007.

Existing-Home Sales By Region

Northeast: slipped 1.4 percent to an annual pace of 720,000 in December, and are 14.3 percent below December 2007. The median price in the Northeast was $235,000, which is 7.8 percent lower than a year ago.
Midwest: increased 4.0 percent in December to a level of 1.04 million but are 10.3 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $140,800, down 11.4 percent from December 2007.
South: rose 7.4 percent to an annual pace of 1.74 million in December, but are 11.2 percent lower than December 2007. The median price in the South was $158,600, which is down 8 percent from a year ago.
West: jumped 13.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.25 million in December and are 31.6 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the West was $213,100, down 31.5 percent from December 2007.

A Good Time to Buy

NAR President Charles McMillan said it’s an excellent time for first-time home buyers with good jobs.

“The typical buyer plans to stay in their home for 10 years, which is the correct approach in today’s market,” he said. “With historically low mortgage interest rates, flexible sellers, a large inventory, and homes that are selling for less than replacement construction costs in much of the country, buyers who’ve been on the fence should take a closer look at today’s market.”

McMillan added that first-time buyers may want to consider an FHA loan, which offers downpayments of 3.5 percent on a safe 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 5.29 percent in December from 6.09 percent in November; the rate was 6.10 percent in December 2007. Last week, Freddie Mac reported the 30-year rate was 5.12 percent.

Home Inspections: 12 Red Flags That Should Raise Concern

January 22, 2009 by Kristin Rial

12 Red Flags That Should Raise ConcernSponsored By
Buying? Here’s why you need a home inspection
By Michele Dawson

Indeed, more than 40 percent of the previously owned homes on the market have at least one serious defect, according to HouseMaster, a major home inspection company with offices in more than 390 cities in the United States and Canada.
“Virtually every ‘used’ home needs some repair or improvement,” said Kathleen Kuhn, CEO and president of HouseMaster. “That’s to be expected. But with today’s high prices, you want to make sure that you are aware of any major problems in a house you are considering purchasing, and what it will take to remedy the situation.”
Drawing from their own findings from more than one million home inspections, HouseMaster says the most serious home defects to be on the lookout for are:

Cracked heater exchange
Failing air-conditioning compressor
Environmental hazards including radon, water contamination, asbestos, lead paint, and underground storage tanks
Moisture in the basement
Defective roofing and/or flashings
Insect infestation — termites or carpenter ants
Mixed plumbing
Aluminum wiring
Horizontal foundation cracks
Major house settlement
Undersized electrical system
Chimney settling or separation

Kuhn says most of these problems can be repaired. However, depending on the specific problem, the cost can be substantial, particularly if the defect involves one of the major systems. The cost could become a factor in whether you ultimately buy the house.
For example, a new air conditioning compressor could cost you up to $1,200. A new roof or repairs can cost at least several thousand dollars. A wet basement could cost up to $5,000 to remedy.
If you enter negotiations to buy a particular house, your agent should advise you to provide a provision for renegotiating or backing out of the contract if a home inspector finds major problems.
“If the property inspectors find that little or no corrective work is required, you have little or nothing to negotiate,” say Eric Tyson and Ray Brown in their book, Homebuying for Dummies. “Suppose, however, that your inspectors discover the $200,000 house you want to buy needs $20,000 of corrective work for termite and dry-rot damage, foundation repairs, and a new roof. Big corrective work bills can be deal killers.”
If repairs are needed, there are several ways to proceed if you still want to buy the house, the Dummies book advises.

The sellers can leave enough money in escrow to cover the cost of repairs, with instructions for the escrow officer to pay the contractors as the work is completed.
The lender can withhold part of the full loan amount in a passbook savings account until the work has been done.
The sellers may give a credit for the work. Lenders may disapprove of this last alternative because there aren’t assurances that the repairs will be made.

A home inspection usually costs between $250 and $400. Hire a qualified inspector. Try to get referrals from friends or anyone you know who has had a satisfactory experience with a home inspector. Also, look for affiliations with organizations like the American Society of Home Inspectors or the American Association of Home Inspectors. Both groups require its members to be certified, meet professional qualifications, and adhere to specific business ethics.
Once you make an appointment with a home inspector, it’s important to be there.
Your investment of spending these few hours with the inspector could prevent headaches and save time in the future. As the home inspector examines the various systems and components of your home, ask him or her to explain what problems may be encountered down the road, what signs to look for, and how to prevent them. Try to learn how things work and how to maintain them. The inspector may also point out little flaws or oddities that don’t measure up to being mentioned in the report, but may warrant keeping an eye on.
Says Kuhn of HouseMasters, “A pre-purchase inspection is your best protection against buying a home based more on emotions, rather than as a sound investment.”

HOPE for Homeowners

January 21, 2009 by Kristin Rial

On Friday, November 21, 2008, the U.S. Housing and Urban Development Secretary Steve Preston announced that the HOPE for Homeowners approved changes to the program to help more distressed borrowers refinance into affordable, government-backed mortgages. The changes will reduce the program costs for consumers and lenders alike while also expanding eligibility by driving down the borrower’s monthly mortgage payments.Modifications to HOPE for Homeowners include:

Increasing the loan to value ratio (LTV) to 96.5 percent for some H4H loans;
Simplifying the process to remove subordinate liens by permitting upfront payments to lienholders; and
Allowing lenders to extend mortgage terms from 30 to 40 years.

HOPE for Homeowners will continue to only offer affordable, government-insured fixed rate mortgages. Further, this program will maintain FHA’s long-standing requirement that new loans be based on a family’s long-term ability to repay the mortgage. Only owner-occupants are eligible for FHA-insured mortgages.

You can learn more on the HUD web site.

January Housing Supply Outlook

January 21, 2009 by Kristin Rial

From Minneapolis Association of Realtors hee are a few highlight from the January housing supply outlook:

The January Months Supply of Inventory dropped to 7.6-9.3 percent below the same time last year. The lowest months supply can be found in single-family detached properties, which currently sits at 7.0. The highest can be found in condominiums-a hearty 11.4 months of supply is available in that segment.

The lower price ranges continue to see a growing share of market activity. Home sales below $150,000 have more than doubled in the last year, jumping 133.1 percent. The lion’s share of homes being sold in these price ranges are lender-mediated foreclosures and short sales.

As a result of this growing phenomenon, prices continue to soften. The Average Price Per Square Foot over the last twelve months is 14.5 percent lower than the twelve months before that. The largest declines can be seen in single-family detached properties.

Mortgage rates dropped to their 11th straight weekly decline

January 17, 2009 by Kristin Rial

Daily Real Estate News | January 16, 2009 |

30-Year Rates Fall Below 5 Percent
Mortgage rates dropped to their 11^th straight weekly decline, reaching new record lows, according to Freddie Mac.

Interest rates on 30-year, fixed rate mortgages averaged 4.96 percent this week, down from a previous week’s 5.01 percent.

The low rates have caused a spike in home refinancing loans and a welcome relief to cash-strapped home owners facing a slowing economy and rising unemployment rates.

“The fact that interest rates have dropped to a record low is an important development since more affordable home financing could help bring buyers back to the market and prevent some of these foreclosures,” says Lawrence White, professor of economics at New York University’s Stern School of Business.

Other rates were mixed for the week:

15 year fixed rates: averaged 4.65 percent, up from 4.62 percent.

1-year adjustable rate mortgages: fell slightly averaging 4.89 percent from 4.95 percent last week.

5/1 ARMs: averaged 5.25 percent compared with 5.49 percent last week.
Mortgage rates have continued to drop ever since the Federal Reserve announced a plan in December to buy up $500 billion of mortgage securities backed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Maeâ€”the government-sponsored enterprises.

Freddie Mac started recording mortgages in 1971.

Source: Reuters, Julie Haviv (1/15/09)

Tax Credit Changes Could Unleash Home Sales

January 16, 2009 by Kristin Rial

Tax Credit Changes Could Unleash Home Sales :

If all home buyers become eligible for a tax credit without a repayment feature, it could result in an additional 555,000 home sales, enough to meaningfully draw down excess housing inventory, the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® says.

An evaluation of options for a home buyer tax credit by NAR shows wide ranging implications and benefits. A full credit to all buyers means an additional 2.22 million households would meet the income requirements for purchasing a home, but only one in four of those households would actually make a purchase.

Under the current $7,500 first-time home buyer tax credit, which must be repaid over 15 years, 264,000 households meet the purchase requirements. Using the same assumptions, with plans to hold their home for a median 10 years, it would mean only 66,000 additional sales.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said NAR is advocating a tax credit for any home purchase meeting qualifying underwriting standards. A home buyer incentive is critical to help reduce housing inventory and stabilize home prices,he said. The bigger the incentive, the faster housing can help pull the economy out of recession. The cost to the Treasury would be far less than the additional costs of a prolonged recession with insufficient housing stimulus.

Analysis of other options shows that if only first-time buyers are eligible and the repayment feature is dropped, it could mean an additional 202,000 home sales. If extended to all home buyers but the repayment feature is retained, the gain would be 181,000 home sales.

NAR President Charles McMillan, a broker with Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage in Dallas-Fort Worth, said a flexible approach to the tax credit would have added benefits. A home buyer tax credit also should be allowed to be used as a part of downpayment. This would instantly add an equity cushion for homeowners” a vested financial interest provides the foundation for sustainable homeownership, which helps improve economic stability, he said.

NAR estimates only 25 percent of newly eligible households would become homeowners, and does not capture the effect of increased trade-up buying activity. As such, these projections may understate the full impact of a home buyer tax credit.

Source: NAR

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